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This article also appears at Fort Russ News

This is a follow-on to the excellent reporting by Russell Bentley at Fort Russ News, as well, this author’s initial piece at Fort Russ on the subject of Flight 752.

In the downing of Flight 752 we’ll look at three kilogram verses fifteen kilogram warheads and a direct hit versus a ‘proximity’ detonation. [1], [2]

A proximity detonation is preferred over a direct hit in surface to air missile defense against hostile aircraft. [3]

The rationale behind designing anti-aircraft, surface to air missiles, for proximity detonations is simple. The initial rationale for proximity was a narrow miss in the early days. As accuracy and dependability improved, proximity fuses were often kept, in addition to impact fuse, as it had been discovered an aircraft’s air-frame can actually contain the effect of the explosive warhead, depending on the design of the aircraft and the location of impact. A modern missile guided to proximity detonation (a mere few feet away from the aircraft) is likely to inflict greater damage, more often than not, because the shrapnel from the high explosive warhead has a better chance at penetrating and damaging a wider area of the target, more readily compromising critical flight control systems (especially wing-flaps and associated hydraulics.) This is why light mobile combat systems such as the Russian Strela 10’s early and middle models (through 1988) with a three kilo warhead had both impact and proximity fuses. The Strela, proximity fused three kilogram warhead used by Iraq in Desert Storm (1991) was capable of taking down the American A-10 ‘Warthog’ (two A-10s shot down by this missile, according to the American military), one of the toughest planes to shoot down with ground-fire in modern combat (to this day.) [4]

By the era of the Stinger, very effective against Soviet helicopters in Afghanistan, missiles had become so maneuverable and accurate, the Stinger was only adapted for a proximity fuse in later (recent) development phases; to be effective against very small (difficult to direct hit) UAVs (drones.) The three kilo (average) warhead launched with a MANPAD (shoulder launched) surface to air missile, it was likely a Stinger FIM-92J (proximity fused warhead), provided by CIA to the so-called ‘moderate opposition’, is what had brought down a SU-25 in Syria:

 

As well, it may have been (likely was) a Russian made IGLA (SA-24) with a 2.5 kilo warhead brought down an AN-30 over Ukraine:

What is noticeable with the much larger AN-30 is, with the starboard (right) engine on fire after having been hit with a 2.5 kilogram MANPAD warhead, the plane is stable and keeps course as the crew is bailing out. What the crew understands is, the heat of the fire will quickly compromise the aluminum alloy of the plane’s wing structure, which should soon buckle and there will be no control. It is better to parachute out before that happens.

What we have (very briefly) looked at to now is what 3 kilo heat-seeking warheads can do to military planes, the smaller planes tend to go down more quickly, more often than not, with immediate loss of control, is the main difference. The smaller SU-25 jet’s wing mounted engines (the heat-seeking target) are more tightly integrated to the main air-frame and wing control flaps. A larger plane has a better chance at keeping control, but the control won’t last long if the plane is on fire, and fire is what happens when heat-seeking warheads hit jet engines.

Of course, bailing out with parachutes is not an option for the passengers and crew of a Boeing 737-800, a medium size passenger jet not all that much larger than the AN-30 in the (2nd, above) video.

All of the preceding would be consistent with Iran initially reporting they believed a ‘technical issue’ or engine fire was the culprit that brought down Flight 752 if they were unaware of a missile launch.

Now, the Flight 752 story begins to become problematic at many levels.

A MANPAD heat-seeking missile has small cross-section and radar signature but it does show up on radar. With its’ small signature, it might be understandable if a MANPAD  were missed or somehow interpreted as an anomaly by civilian operators of traffic control at an international airport, but that shouldn’t be the case with a larger missile. For example, a Stinger MANPAD has a missile diameter of 70mm versus 235mm diameter of the Tor m1 missile attributed to shooting down Flight 752. One should expect a Tor M1 missile(s) would have been picked up by the civilian air traffic control radar at Tehran’s international airport. So, already the Iranian story is showing a hole, when it is supposedly ascertained no one but the military knew what had happened. Over at John Helmer’s blog the (increasingly demonstrated to be false) Iranian story is set out very well. [5]

““The plane has been hit at a low altitude by a short-range missile with a small warhead and proximity fuze,” Hajizadeh reported. “It has exploded at the proximity [of the aircraft]; so the plane has found the chance to fly for a while; it hasn’t exploded in the air. After hitting the ground, it has collapsed. So no one at the [Iran Civil] Aviation Organisation knew about it, and I should defend my dear brothers there.””

This is not a particularly convincing deceit on more than one ground; on top of no explanation as to why the civil airport radar didn’t pick the missile up, there is a problem with the missile strike description. We have seen what a 3 kilogram warhead can do to aircraft already. The Tor M1 warhead is fifteen kilograms, this is NOT a small warhead (the Iranians are claiming a 7 kilo warhead but I don’t buy it and 7 kilos is still double what had brought down the AN 30.) A ‘proximity’ strike (mere feet from the aircraft with the thoroughly modern Tor system), should be devastating to a Boeing 737. By comparison, the superman of SAM systems, the S-400, uses a 24 kilo warhead in typical air defense configuration (excludes the ‘below the horizon, search and destroy’ warhead, an entirely different purposed missile.)

Then, John Helmer weighs in as this reporter is composing:

In the initial reporting from the Iranian side, we’d seen [6]

“Qassem Biniaz, an official at the Iranian Ministry of Roads and Urban Development, told state news agency IRNA that an engine caught fire and the pilot was unable to regain control” [6]

Firstly, loss of control is not the immediate effect of an engine fire, loss of control comes after the aluminum alloy structure has been compromised, this is when there will be no regaining of control, but this may actually what had been referred to.

The Western reaction:

“…the U.S. manufacturer does not believe a 3-year-old airplane that just underwent inspection days before caught on fire.

“That aside, an engine fire doesn’t rule out a missile,” the source said. “A missile strike itself could’ve caused the fire. The explanation is ridiculous and the conclusion is more than suspicious.” [7]

The Boeing ‘source’ is actually helpful, if he only knew how: a plane with an engine fire from a missile, that keeps a bit of control, is going to, nearly every time, come down from having been hit by a MANPAD.

We do know the pilot had been able to turn the plane back towards the airport, and the preceding would be consistent with both, a MANPAD strike and a lack of complete understanding of the circumstance; before the Iranians had time to line up all the possible duck configurations, discover the facts and make a decision as to how to proceed with what this author is convinced had been a MANPAD take-down of Flight 752 by a Western intelligence cell inside Iran.

It follows, ultimately Iran decided to take on a false accountability for two simple but compelling reasons; 1) the international institutions and Western press are bought little different to referees and judges can be bribed to determine a boxing match outcome & 2) Western cells operating within Iran to point of bringing down Flight 752 would be a serious black eye to the domestic perception of Iranian security, weakening the regime in the public perception. Falsely swallowing responsibility is the path of least immediate damage to the Iranian governing institution, both internally and externally.

The stupidity on the Western side in this is, yeah, you hit the ayatollahs below the belt and got away with it, but you also likely convinced them there can never be a genuine détente with Western institutions, ever.

Is something like this what happened? Lots of ‘smoke to clear’ yet in emerging picture but the entire business just goes on smelling wrong –

“It is sometimes very hard to tell the difference between history and the smell of skunk” -Cicily Isabel Fairfield

 

1 https://www.armyrecognition.com/united_states_american_missile_system_vehicle_uk/stinger_fim-92_fim-92a_man_portable_air_defense_missile_system_manpads_technical_data_sheet_picture.html

2 https://www.armyrecognition.com/russia_russian_missile_system_vehicle_uk/tor-m1_9a331_sa-15_gauntlet_technical_data_sheet_specifications_information_description_pictures_uk.html

3 Author’s training at the USA Air Defense Artillery School, Ft Bliss

4 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/9K35_Strela-10#Combat_use

5 Flight 752 discussion begins about 1/2 way into Helmer’s article: http://johnhelmer.net/the-fog-of-war-gorilla-radio-discusses-the-russian-focus/

6 https://www.businessinsider.com/iran-ukraine-plane-crash-flight-752-timeline-unfolded-events-allegations-2020-1

7 https://www.peoplespunditdaily.com/news/us/2020/01/09/pentagon-increasingly-suspects-uia-flight-752-was-shot-down-by-sa-15-tor-missile-system/

Also see:

8 https://www.fort-russ.com/2020/01/how-was-a-recording-made-iran-ukraine-the-shootdown-of-uia-752/

9 https://www.fort-russ.com/2020/01/texas-iranian-flight-crash-facts-not-adding-up/

This article first appeared at Fort Russ News

11 January update: The Iranian military has released a statement (English version) claiming responsibility, but point 3 is patent BS:

“3- Under such sensitive and critical circumstances, the Ukrainian airline’s Flight PS752 took off from Imam Khomeini Airport, and when turning around, it approached a sensitive military site of the IRGC, taking the shape and altitude of a hostile target. In such conditions, due to human error and in an unintentional move, the airplane was hit [by the Air Defence], which caused the martyrdom of a number of our compatriots and the deaths of several foreign nationals”

That’s just not a tenable position unless the SAM operators (crew, not one individual, the launch officer should have not only input from the screen operator, but should oversee the radar tracking, looking at all indicators himself) PANICKED and launched on what could only morph into the “shape and altitude of a hostile target” in the radar crew’s fantasy. This aspect of the explanation  does not convince, it ignores too many indicators this was a civilian flight. Is taking responsibility for the shootdown the least damaging (to the Iran security establishment’s domestic reputation) means of laying the issue to rest? Iran’s explanation leaves some loose threads hanging, not least an Iranian shootdown would have been reported immediately via chain of command to leadership; which should bring the initial denials under close scrutiny. In such any case, rather there should have been a non-committal ‘let’s see what the investigation determines.’

My thanks to Russell Bentley, for the timely heads up in the comments at Fort Russ.

*

manpad - 1

So, the  Canadians (Justin Trudeau, a midget political caricature in the shadow of his father) have ‘intelligence’ showing Ukraine International Airlines Flight 752 had been ‘inadvertently’ shot down by the Iranians. Meanwhile the New York Times has come into possession of a video, they had time to have professionally analyzed, showing UIA 752 had been struck by missile. Newsweek reports Ukrainian intelligence has identified fragments of a Tor M1 surface to air missile circulating on social media, ostensibly found in a Tehran suburb. The Tor M1 is a Russian built short range surface to air missile Iran possesses and plainly expected to be on high alert (launch ready) at the time of UIA 752’s departure from Tehran, due to Iran’s strike on the USA bases in Iraq.

So far, so frog, all is consistent with a ‘fog of war’ scenario where the Iranian forces had brought down the civilian jet. But wait a minute.

The first red flag is how quickly all of this was put together for Western media. It was simply too fast.

The second red flag is the video itself. Why, would anyone be recording an empty night sky that does not show flight 752 (at a distance, invisible in the dark) except they would be expecting to see something, and wellah, a missile appears to come from the left of the otherwise empty sky and boom! .. lights up the night sky with a strike on the (otherwise invisible) civilian liner. That kind of stinks, particularly since the otherwise pointless (clearly a psychic compelled someone to film an empty night sky) video immediately ends up in the hands of Western media.

Third, unlike the Ukrainians, the Iranian military is not populated with demoralized, undisciplined drunks who shoot down civilian liners with SAM systems (such as the face-saving device offered to the Western states by Russia, for Ukraine actually having shot down MH 17 with a combat jet.) The Iranians are a highly professional, motivated, well trained caliber of military with a high state of self discipline.

The thoroughly modern Tor M1 system would, via IFF (Identification, Friend or foe), the civilian jet’s transponder, speed, trajectory and flight path, clearly identify Flight 752 as a civilian flight departing Tehran. What’s more is, any radar tracking an actual hostile target would have seen its approach originating from outside a circumference surrounding Tehran. By the time the civilian plane had been turning, its’ point of origin should have already been established within this circumference, i.e. the international airport.

The odd fact as yet unexplained; why UIA 752’s departure time coincided with Iran’s missile launch on the American bases? A priority given to the passengers getting out of Iran with the possibility of escalating tit for tat exchange? And why, other than flight crew, why were there practically no Ukrainians on UIA 752 to Kiev? That seems out of ordinary as well. Was this somehow promoted as an evacuation flight?

Throw into the mix of this the several experts indicating Iran had signaled to the USA the time and targets of the Iranian missiles launch on the American bases in Iraq, to minimalize escalation, and you have all of the necessary elements for a Western intelligence cell in Iran to prepare for recording itself bringing down the Ukrainian flight with a manpad (shoulder launched surface to air missile.) Insofar as producing Tor M1 fragments, this system is widespread across the geopolitical spectrum, even NATO  states possess this system, example given is Greece. Planting these pieces (whether in a Tehran suburb or elsewhere mimicking a Tehran location) to be promptly spread on social media (where military and intelligence agencies maintain thousands of fake profiles), you can pin the fault on the Iranians. This sends a message ‘we can strike inside Iran’ and, as well, causes Iran civil aviation problems on the world stage.

Is this what actually happened? It would explain the Iranians immediate denials, as simple as their launch systems people would probably (and likely truthfully) report no Tor M1 had been fired.

War crimes are nothing new in regards to the West directed at Iran, after all, the cynical inside joke at Department of State over the 2003 rationale for invading Iraq was, ‘yeah, we know they have chemical weapons, we gave them to Saddam to use on Iran.’

Of course this is entirely speculation, the case could go either way and we shall see what happens with the already argued over investigative efforts… but in my opinion the Western media presentation smells bad, the picture emerged too quickly, too conveniently.

11 January (2nd update) in the comments at Ft Russ, Russell Bentley has this to say:

“You know, something still smells fishy about this. In my research yesterday, I discovered the SA-15 actually has two targeting systems – Radar and TV. The TV is a visual system, all weather, day/night, NV/IR, with first class optics and a 20 Km range. The radar has a 25 Km range, but the missiles have a 15 Km range, max. So if they could hit it, they HAD to be able to see it. And as you said, the SA-15’s were part of an integrated system, and would have known that a sudden appearance of a blip on the screen without prior warning from longer range systems located closer to the border would have required double checking. And your point about turning – as I understand, it did not turn until after it was hit by the first missile. (And BTW, it appears to have been hit by TWO missiles, while it was going 316 MPH at an altitude of less than 8,000 feet, well within range of Strela, Igla, Stinger, Polish Grom and British Starstreak MANPADS.) It’s original flight path, towards Parand, is 180 degrees away from the Aria military airfield, and 90 degrees away from Tehran. In fact, the flight path would have been very similar to what Iranian AF jets would have taken if they were going to intercept incoming enemy aircraft from Iraq, so it is really hardly believable that an outgoing 737 could be mistaken for an incoming “bogey”. Particularly when you consider the IRGCAF’s (utterly non-existent) reputation for “panic and incompetence””

My Reply:

“It is entirely feasible the Iranians decided to falsely swallow responsibility as the easiest means of deflecting the several possibilities for complications, both external & internal. As a matter of fact, I actually think that’s what Saudi Arabia ultimately decided to do in the case of Jamal Khashoggi. S**t is flung in deeply devious ways in geopolitics, it comes with the territory (in a severely messed up world.)”

 

Is it a case of I don’t understand Russian propaganda or is it Russian propagandists don’t fully understand the Western mentality or is it a case of the Russians are handling the madmen of NATO with ‘kid gloves’ ?

To begin, understanding the NATO nations’ intelligence agencies are corrupt to the core is as simple as reading up on GLADIO, where false-flag terrorism had been employed to shape the thinking of the Western democracies’ populations; including the bombings and machine-gunning innocents across Western Europe. Should it be a surprise the Russians do not point to this established history in relation to the downing of MH17? Would the outcome of being perfectly honest result in ‘conspiracy’ charges by the Western democracies and possibly banned (sanctioned) websites, for instance RT and Sputnik?

The facts are succinct. There is a preponderance of the evidence MH17 had been brought down by a Ukrainian SU-25 combat jet as attested to by the Russians, who handed the relevant radar data to the Dutch-led investigation. This evidence had been at first stonewalled and finally ignored. Meanwhile (quite sometime later) the Western led investigation produced fragments of a (Soviet era) Russian manufactured Buk surface to air missile. The Russians declassified the Soviet era documents showing that particular missile (custody established by serial number) had been delivered to and should have been in the possession of (post-Soviet inheritance) Ukraine.

Now, where I have a problem with the Russian side is, the Russians finally saying (metaphor) ‘if you want to own the Buk, go ahead, because if you claim that particular missile brought down MH17, Ukraine owns the crime’ (no one is accusing neo-nazi led Ukraine of being particularly intelligent, especially when producing Buk fragments that can be traced directly back to the Ukrainian military.)

Here’s the evidence backed by witnesses on the ground and apparent actual circumstance:

“A Ukraine Air Force military jet was detected gaining height, it’s distance from the Malaysian Boeing was 3 to 5km,” said the head of the Main Operations Directorate of the HQ of Russia’s military forces, Lieutenant-General Andrey Kartopolov speaking at a media conference in Moscow on Monday.

“[We] would like to get an explanation as to why the military jet was flying along a civil aviation corridor at almost the same time and at the same level as a passenger plane,” he stated” [1]

Here’s the Russian side’s weasel words that follow the Dutch-led investigation producing the Buk fragments:

“I’ll again go back to the beginning. From the very moment of the crash, Russia was very determined to assist in the investigation. That is why Russia was providing all information that emerged about the disaster, including the testimony of the Ukrainian military, since the evidence of a second aircraft in the sky was around at that time. Verifying the accounts [of the incident] is the task of the international investigation.

“Later, more weighty arguments and evidence began to emerge in favour of the scenario of a surface-to-air missile, which, as a matter of fact, was confirmed by an experiment by the Almaz-Antey concern back in 2015. They identified the type of missile — it’s an old modification — the trajectory of its flight and, therefore, the place from which it was launched. This account, as well as the type of missile and the launch site, which were originally established by Almaz-Antey, were finally confirmed by the data of the Ust-Donetsk radar station, which Russia also handed over, and by the debris of the missile found by the JIT, which helped to establish its Ukrainian origin” [2]

Preceding is what appears to be irreconcilable accounts (noting the second Russian version does not claim placing the SU-25 at the scene was a mistake) if one attributes “including the testimony of the Ukrainian military” to the Ukrainian air force mechanic who defected to Russia, fearing for his life, after overhearing the (just landed) pilot of the SU-25 (the mechanic had armed with air to air missiles) appear to claim he’d shot down the MH17 civilian flight. It is also noteworthy the Ukrainian SU-25 pilot later ‘committed suicide.’ [3] [4]

The Buk scenario creates a picture of Ukraine forces would risk downing their own combat plane in immediate proximity to MH17 at point of destruction. It makes no sense. What does make sense is, the Ukrainian Buk could have been exploded in controlled circumstance to ‘create’ evidence. What also makes sense is, the Russians taking an attitude if the Dutch-led JIT [Joint Investigative Team] wants to claim it was that particular Buk missile brought MH17 down, Ukraine owns the responsibility, so let them. This also allows for a future picture painted it was incompetence, not malice, downed MH17, avoiding the otherwise indisputable ‘act of war’ where the civilian liner had been deliberately destroyed for purpose of falsely implicating Russia. Opening the door for the Ukrainian Buk points to Russia pre-positioning to allow for a ‘graceful exit’ from the crime (assigned to Ukrainian forces incompetence), were the Western democracies ever to wish to mend relations with Russia; nevertheless a case of ‘doing truth no favor.’

Insofar as Western (or Western aligned) intelligence agencies murderous behaviors concerning shoot-down of airplanes, there is a recent analysis of the assassination of Dag Hammarskjold that shares traits with the downing of MH17; the absolute refusal of certain countries (Ukraine re MH17’s air traffic control records, USA re MH17 satellite photos & USA re Hammarskjold’s DC-6 flight) to release records in their possession. [5]

A former Sergeant of Operations and Intelligence for Special Forces, Ronald Thomas West is a retired investigator (living in exile) whose work focus had been anti-corruption. Ronald is published in International Law as a layman (The Mueller-Wilson Report, co-authored with Dr Mark D Cole) and has been adjunct professor of American Constitutional Law at Johannes Gutenberg University, Mainz, Germany (for English credit, summer semester 2008.) Ronald’s formal educational background (no degree) is social psychology. His therapeutic device is satire.

Contact: penucquemspeaks@googlemail.com

On 15 December 2017, The New York Times ran an editorial piece by Mikheil Saakashvili, with the NYT altogether neglecting to mention Saakashvili is not only wanted (arrest warrant) in his native Georgia for corruption, abuse of power and shielding murderers from prosecution, but is increasingly implicated in the murders of some 80 police and protestors in February of 2014. This latter, Ukraine event, the so-called ‘Maidan Massacre’, has risen to a level of ‘preponderance of the evidence’ necessary for a civil conviction of Saakashvili under USA law, and were the known, necessary parties [witnesses] available to honest prosecution, almost certainly a criminal ‘beyond a reasonable doubt’ conviction could be reached as well. Yet, the Times ran this man’s opinion piece as though he were a lily-white reformer, unjustly persecuted, as Saakashvili claims.

The evidence timeline:

Initially, an intercepted, leaked phone call between the European Union’s Cathrine Ashton and the Estonian foreign minister (verified as authentic by the Estonian), indicates it was a member (or members) of the new USA supported Ukrainian administration were behind the snipers who killed both protestors and police during confrontation in February 2014 at Kiev. (conversation begins about 2 minutes into this youtube posting)

John Kerry had claimed it was the ousted (Russia friendly, Yanukovych) administration behind the snipers.

Subsequently, in April 2015, a Polish MEP (Member of European Parliament), who happens to be a conservative Catholic – indicating an honest man – as opposed to the more typical Polish-Catholic Russophobe, states in a Polish press interview, the Maidan snipers were trained in Poland by USA intelligence services:

Question: “[you are] a supporter of the thesis it was a CIA operation?”

Answer: “Maidan was also our operation. The snipers were trained in Poland”

The original interview transcript in Polish language (Polish online magazine) HERE

A reasonable English language summary of the interview by PRAVDA:

In November 2017, Italian investigative journalist, Gian Micalessin, has interviewed three of the snipers who shot the people in Maidan square. They were Georgians sent to Ukraine by security services people aligned with American allied-educated Mikhail Saakashvili. American Brian Christopher Boyenger ran the sniper operation on location:

 

Excerpts from an expanded English translation of the Italian (the video subtitles are abridged)

“Both [witnesses] Nergadze and Zalogy are linked to former Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili”

“All three of our participants say that they were recruited at the end of 2013 by Mamuka Mamulashvili, a Saakashvili military advisor who, after the Maidan action, will move to the Donbass, to lead the so-called Georgian Legion in clashes with ethnic Russian insurgents”

““One day around February 15 [states Alexander] Mamualashvili personally visited our tent. There was another guy in his uniform with him. He introduced him and told us he was an instructor, an American soldier.” The US military veteran Brian Christopher Boyenger, is a former officer and sniper for the 101st Airborne Division. After Maidan, [Boyenger] moves on to the Donbass front, where he will fight in the ranks of the Georgian Legion alongside Mamulashvili”

““We were always in touch with this Bryan, [Nergadze explains] he was a Mamulashvili man. It was he who gave us the orders. I had to follow all his instructions“”

““On February 18 [recalls Zalogy] someone took some weapons to my room. In the room with me there were two Lithuanians, the weapons were unpacked by them.””

This preceding, newest information, begins to bring a larger picture into focus; the Lithuanian snipers, taken together with the American, are consistent with the Polish account of a CIA operation. Brian Christopher Boyenger, in the larger picture, profiles as a CIA paramilitary officer. What’s more is, the Lithuanians are clearly trained per a Georgian witness going on to state…

“the Lithuanians opened the window. One of them fired, one shot, while the other closed the window”

…consistent with the Polish account. This training is reflected in the coordinated action of the two Lithuanians, concealing the location of the sniper fire.

All of the preceding is consistent with one of the Georgians stating…

“The first meeting was with Mamulashvili [was] at the office of the National Movement” [Zalogy said] The Ukrainian uprising in 2013 was similar to the [Pink Revolution] that took place in Georgia years before. We had to direct and guide it using the same pattern used for the “Pink Revolution”

Saakashvili was brought into power by the so-called ‘Pink Revolution’ and this Saakashvili associated veteran’s statement points to old allegations the Pink Revolution had been a CIA engineered event are more than credible.

Now, certain statements of Saakashvili himself, in his Times editorial, are worth examining:

“By November, I, along with a team of my former Georgian colleagues, helped create a new Ukrainian police force. We also completely transformed the corrupt way state contracts were purchased and helped to form the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine, a watchdog. At that time, Mr. Poroshenko welcomed our help. He described me as “a great friend of Ukraine” and granted me and other Georgian reformers citizenship.

Several of us were invited to join the Ukrainian government. One became the head of the national police force and another was appointed minister of health. Another Georgian became the deputy director of the anticorruption [sic] bureau”

What appears to have happened here is, Central Intelligence had, subsequent to the 2014 coup and related massacre, used Saakashvili to initiate building a so-called ‘5th column’ into civil Ukrainian security structures, aside from the American trained and supplied (overt, NATO, Pentagon), and battlefield advised (covert, Central Intelligence) military structures. The purpose of penetrating the civil security structures would be, primarily, to build ‘leverage’ within the civil administrative apparatus to better control recalcitrant personalities, President Poroshenko especially, for reasons having to do with the Ukrainians put into power were, in the beginning, too stupid (Svoboda or neo-nazis) to manipulate properly, and in the subsequent case of Poroshenko, too stubborn.

Poroshenko, was willing to bring Saakashvili onboard, they had, after all, been partners in crime to a point of closeness where the only sensible question in any circumstance of betrayal between the two would be ‘et tu Brute?’ But Poroshenko somehow got wind of (was tipped) to what Saakashvili, a long time CIA asset, was actually up to, and began counter-moves to block him, leading to the circumstance of today.

What Poroshenko does understand is, the USA’s pressure to take on the Donbass ethnic Russian rebels will see him deposed and the east of Ukraine lost to the Dnieper River, inclusive of Odessa and Kiev. Putin has made clear the present, Russophobic, regime controlling Kiev, will not be allowed to militarily overrun the ethnic Russian Donbass region of Ukraine. Putin has also stated his military would take Kiev in two weeks time, maximum, if and when a decision is taken to do so. But this is what NATO wants, to further politically isolate Russia as an ‘aggressor’ state and justify its military buildup on Russia’s borders. The NATO problem is Poroshenko gives lip-service to this but doesn’t initiate the wider military action in the rebel region necessary to actually trigger Russia.

What Saakashvili apparently does not understand is, his currency as an asset for the CIA is about expended. Saakashvili’s Central Intelligence asset track record:

1) CIA ‘color revolution’ in Georgia, successful.

2) Led Georgia’s NATO (Condoleezza Rice engineered) proxy war with Russia, 2008, and badly mishandled it.

3) Lost Georgia itself, as a NATO proxy state, with his incompetent handling of domestic fallout from the 2008 war, lost in several absolutely humiliating ways, to Russia.

4) Co-author of CIA ‘color revolution’ (coup) in Ukraine, winter of 2013-14, successful.

5) CIA insertion into Ukraine’s administrative apparatus, 2015-16, mishandled.

6) CIA December 2017 counter-revolution to it’s own February 2014 coup, in progress.

It is this last which bodes very ill for Saakashvili. His score in polls is at 2% or less. There is virtually no chance of success, despite other western intelligence assets (example given, Yulia Tymoshenko of Germany’s Bundesnachrichtendienst, as well, spook controlled groups and NGOs such as ‘civil society’ fronts), offering what amounts to artificial support.

In chess terms, CIA asset Saakashvili has been devalued, from a rook (castle) to pawn, to be sacrificed on the board-game of geopolitics. Saakashvili’s handlers know he cannot win this most recent gambit. What does his sacrifice accomplish? To remind (send a message to) Poroshenko, pointing out who actually calls the shots by demonstrating Poroshenko’s helplessness to deal with Saakashvili. This first part has already been accomplished. The second act should be upcoming assassination of Saakashvili, to be blamed on either Poroshenko or Putin, depending on whether or not Poroshenko begins to ‘play ball’, while ridding the CIA of a badly compromised asset and possible problematic witness, that is Saakashvili, were he to be apprehended in a competent jurisdiction of law and held account to his recently exposed crimes.

Meanwhile, The New York Times, a CIA asset since the days of “Operation Mockingbird“, brings the western world Saakashvili’s (actually the agency’s) ‘cover story’ when neglecting to point out any of the known, compromising facts, concerning Mikhail Saakashvili.

*

President Georgia GIF

How I became Guv’nor & Escaped Jail

New York Times
15 December 2017
by McHeil Saakashvili

KIEV, Ukraine — I-I may be the first royal asshole, since a Habsburg, to be left stateless.

I-In the past, I-I’ve also been described as one of the most incompetent enemies of President Vladimir Putin of R’rruussia. I-I-I recently spent three days in solitary confinement, held by my neo-nazi former partners in Ukraine, which, among other allegations, accused me of being an agent of the R’rruussian secret service.

How could this happen?

After I-I was evicted as the CIA installed dictator of Georgia, during which time which I-I-I fellatio-ed my homeland into what the World Bank described as the No. 1 NATO sycophant nation in the world, I-I ran to the United States to escape corruption charges.

But in November 2013, color revolution began in Ukraine, the country where I-I had earlier in my life studied and lived for many years, to get rid of another incompetent, but pro-R’rruussian president. After students were arranged to be beaten in Kiev’s central square, by people I-I-I admire, I-I knew I-I-I had to be there. I-I traveled to Ukraine to arrange some Georgian snipers on the Maidan, joining Lithuanian snipers trained by the CIA in Poland.

I-Initially, after the ouster of the pro-R’rruussian president, Viktor Yanukovych, the opportunity for looting Ukraine looked promising. Following muscling himself to the presidency, my school days boyfriend Poroshenko, in May 2015, granted me full Ukrainian mafia membership.

By November, I-I, together with some goons of my former Georgian secret services, created a new Ukraine-based mafia enforcers squad. We moved on state contracts purchasing and helped to form the National A-Anti-Corruption Front of Ukraine, euphemism for a new organized crime repository.

At that time, my ex-boyfriend Poroshenko, w-welcomed our business model. He described me as “a great friend of Ukraine” and granted me and other Georgian mafiasos concessions. Some of us were invited into the Ukrainian mafia capos’ club. One became the head of the national police force and another was a-appointed minister of health. Another Georgian capo became the deputy director of my anti-corruption front.

I-I-I demanded to be godfather of the Odessa region, to defend it from R’rruussian attempts to stabilize it and to initiate reforms there. Those reforms might have brought in many y-young ethnic R’rruussian Ukrainians, who were supported by the local population, and see them them get rid of the neo-nazi entrenched street gangs. Everything was going to hell, excuse me, I-I meant well, and by late 2016, we found our efforts at co-opting turf were encroaching on turf held by the central government.

My ex-boyfriend Poroshenko, a candy oligarch who had gotten his start as a high end male hooker, and his entourage, not only stopped protecting my turf in Odessa and ceased supporting the capos supporting me in the government, but also directly started to undermine some of our turf grabs. I -I believe that this was mostly out of personal interest: Our muscling in was leading to less space for them to c-control the several crime syndicates. Moreover, my National A-Anti-Corruption Front had begun to move in on turf of the president’s close associates.

In November 2016, I-I resigned from my post as g-governor and came out of the closet, to please John Brennan, as this would reveal the nature of my relationship to my ex-boyfriend. Poroshenko was outraged. A few months later, while t-taking instruction from CIA in Poland, I-I was stripped of my Ukrainian capo godfathership. Because I-I had lost my Georgian mafia protection and become a Ukrainian mafiaso, that meant I-I-I was now officially stateless. Despite receiving direct threats that I-I should not return to Ukraine, I-I had no choice but to come back — officially stateless b-but instructed by CIA to try, and expand my hard-won turf.

I-I-I also began to lead a mobilization for change of mafia bosses, forming a coalition with the arch-evil Yulia Tymoshenko, who gives me gynophobia-based, adrenaline-stimulated nausea, while picking up s-support of western intelligence agency fronted ‘civil society’ NGOs, t-to protest in front of Parliament.

I-In the meantime, my National A-Anti-Corruption Front, after it muscled in on the president’s turf by skimming Halloween candy export contracts, came under intense attack. My capos were i-interrogated by prosecutors, my undercover hit-men were exposed, and attempts were made at curtailing my power. Just a few years earlier, I-I had assisted the neo-nazis of Ukraine to unseat their previous president in large part to gain control over these institutions. These are i-immensely ungrateful people.

So last week my p-party, the Movement for New Fronts, organized one of the biggest rallies since the Maidan murders were arranged by my foot-soldiers together with those ungrateful bastards, to protest against their counter-turf grabs and the attacks on my anti-corruption front. Two days later, my apartment, which is near the M-Maidan, was searched by rival mafia soldiers who tried to arrest me — where is the courtesy and gratitude?! My CIA m-minders intervened and freed me from my rival forces’ minivan. I-I was arrested again a few days later. I-I-I was charged with aiding and abetting a criminal organization!! The hypocrisy!! And the a-added insult of charged with assisting associates of the ousted president, Mr. Yanukovych, who had fled to R’rruussia!!!

My ex-boyfriend’s capo-general announced that I-I am an a-agent of the R’rruussian secret police and that my goal is to loot Ukraine! My CIA m-minders called that accusation serious!

Ukraine risks, rather, being stabilized by R’rruussia. And indeed, R‘rruussia has powerful allies in this attempt at s-stabilization: Ukraine’s homegrown, ethnic R’rruussians, who have fought the Bandera legacy’s SS Galacian brigades attempted takeover of Ukraine’s eastern regions.

I-I believe in a great future for looters of Ukraine. As in other countries in Eastern Europe, its successful looting, I-I-I believe, lies in the reversal of a trend in w-which oligarchs, who have been trained by CIA to m-manipulate elections, are too greedy and won’t share their hard-won opportunities at corruption. I-I hope to live until the not-so-distant day when I-I-I will be in a position to control this l-looting with the subservience of the indigenous Ukrainian capos.

On M-Monday, a judge was put under tremendous pressure by CIA to set me free. I-I will now contest the r-rival capos maneuvering against me, and I-I-I am confident I-I-I-I will be fully in charge one day. My a-anti-corruption front’s ‘kinder, gentler’ (less t-transparent, EU style) looting is this country’s hope and its f-f-future.

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The New York Times, which published the editorial by Saakashvili this piece parodies, on 15 December 2017, altogether neglects to mention Saakashvili is wanted in his native Georgia for corruption (theft of 3.4 million USD), abuse of office and complicity in shielding his secret service from prosecution for a murder.

What is clear is, Saakashvili doesn’t stand a chance. His Central Intelligence Agency handlers are wringing what little they can out of him, to bring Poroshenko into line and get that oaf busy with cracking down on the Donbass separatist region in Ukraine, to keep tensions high with Russia.

Meanwhile, since it had come out via Italian investigative journalist, Gian Micalessin, that some of the 2014 Maidan square snipers (80 dead, protestors and police) are tied directly to Mikheil Saakashvili’s contacts in the Georgian security services…

All three of our participants say that they were recruited at the end of 2013 by Mamuka Mamulashvili, a Saakashvili military advisor who, after the Maidan action, will move to the Donbass, to lead the so-called Georgian Legion in clashes with ethnic Russian insurgents.

“The first meeting was with Mamulashvili [was] at the office of the National Movement,” Zalogy said. “The Ukrainian uprising in 2013 was similar to the” Pink Revolution “that took place in Georgia years before. We had to direct and guide it using the same pattern used for the “Pink Revolution”

…the CIA likely wants rid of him. I won’t be surprised at all if this present circumstance is ultimately engineered to have Saakashvili assassinated, with blame put on Putin.

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Narcissist & Goon

^ The Narcissist and the Goon ^

In the New York Times photo (August, 2008) you’re looking at two useful idiots. If everything Condoleezza touched, turned to shit, it is the criminal piece of shit on the right of the photo, represents closing out Condoleezza’s career with a classic, utter failure, typical of the Bush administration. Today, we’ll profile this idiot, a New York lawyer named ‘McHeil’ Saakashvili, for purpose of showing just how counter-intuitive it is, to shove purportedly high IQ type personalities, without an iota of decency or common sense, into positions of leadership.

Mikheil Saakashvili’s trajectory:

Attended Ukraine’s Kiev University Institute of International Relations towards the end of the Soviet era. Subsequently, Saakashvili was educated in the USA, on a Department of State sponsored fellowship (attended Columbia University law school as an Edmund S. Muskie Fellow) in the early 90s and then practiced commercial law at Patterson, Belknap, Webb & Tyler, in New York City. No doubt was recruited by the CIA during this period, concerning his next career move.

Returned to Georgia and was elected to parliament.

Came to power as President of Georgia through a CIA sponsored coup in 2003 (the Rose Revolution.)

Had been entirely outsmarted, in a geopolitical game of provocation-counter-provocation, as instigator-pawn in the hands of NATO, resulting in the Russia-Georgia war of 2008.

Prematurely initiated what would become a suicidal provocation of Russia, when ordering sniper and mortar attacks on South Ossetia on 1 August 2008, killing six people including a Russian peacekeeper, as NATO sponsored war games were wrapping up, with the USA military participating. The ‘Immediate Response 2008’ NATO war games including 1,000 U.S. troops had just ended and elements of US special forces (acting as CIA paramilitary) remained in Georgia. The Russians did not take the bait with an over-reaction, but simply continued preparations to counter what they saw coming.

Six days later, as the opening ceremony of the Olympic Games was underway in Beijing, where George W. Bush was sitting with then Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, Georgia launched an all-out assault on the South Ossetian capital of Tskhinvali, ostensibly to bring a nominally Georgian region, that is ‘lawless’ South Ossetia, under control of Georgian sovereignty. This is a region which had refused to align with Georgia with the breakup of the Soviet Union but attached itself to Russia instead.

President Medvedev ordered the Georgians militarily engaged, Russian forces promptly rolled over the Georgian offensive and by the time the war ends, five days later, much of Georgia has been occupied.

Condoleezza. She Makes Phone Calls.

On the USA side, it was Condoleezza Rice coordinating public relations with Saakashvili, finally managing to beg a ceasefire from the Russians, just prior to the very near, and complete, collapse of the Georgian military. Prior to capitulation, most of this western intelligence engineered media scrum refers to, or portrays, images of Condoleezza on the phone, like a maniacally barking Chihuahua, insisting on world condemnation of Russian aggression. The red bear yawns.

Meanwhile, the U.S. had provided military transport planes to bring 2,000 Georgian troops back from Iraq post-haste, for the fighting, too late, the USA trained, supported and advised Georgian military, replete with CIA paramilitary (USA special forces), had been humiliated.

The Georgia ambassador to the USA stated “No one predicted it would go this far”, giving up this had been a plan in collusion with the USA from the beginning. Five months later, the Bush administration ends and Rice leaves office with an absolutely failed legacy, from Afghanistan to Iraq, with Georgia the exclamation point.

One year later, in September 2009, a European Union investigation of the war came to conclusion there was no question whatsoever it was Georgia had initiated the major hostilities in South Ossetia (never mind Wikipedia reads like a peculiar personality at Stanford’s Hoover Institution dictated what amounts to a blatant, self-excusing revisionist history.)

Saakashvili remained the USA’s [now not very] useful idiot, as President of Georgia (accused of reelection electoral fraud), until forced out by term limits in 2013. Shortly after, he leaves Georgia, with the opposition in power, investigating Saakashvili’s abuse of office. Eventually a warrant is issued for Saakashvili’s arrest concerning:

1) shielding his interior ministry’s murder of Sandro Girgviliani;
2) embezzlement of funds from the State Protection Service for personal use, a total of 9 million Georgian lari (3.37 million US dollars);
3) complicity in the beating of Georgian MP Valery Gelashvili;
4) ordering the raid and seizure of Imedi TV, which had exposed and criticized the Saakashvili regime’s criminal behaviors

In 2014 Saakashvili is one of many CIA associated co-engineers of the Maidan coup in Ukraine, deeply invested in the sniper action, resulting in murders of nearly 100 police and protestors alike. In May of 2015 he is rewarded with the governorship of Odessa Oblast [a region] by Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko (with a push from the USA.) Awarded a Ukrainian passport, Saakashvili’s citizenship is revoked, by Georgia, for taking Ukrainian citizenship.

Some might wonder how it could be a Georgian could leave his own country and be immediately appointed to high office in Ukraine (Governor of Odessa.) The short story is, this generation of politicians all held a common Soviet citizenship, prior to the 1990s, and there is not nearly the same sense of ‘foreign’ between the former Soviet states as one might typically experience in western countries. Saakashvili’s initial higher education had been at university in Kiev, Ukraine, as an ordinary citizen (not a foreign student) of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR.)

Meanwhile, Saakashvili’s USA handlers actually expected him to clamp down on Ukraine’s runaway corruption and this idiot actually tried to do so (the corrupt attempting cleaning up the corrupt, geopolitics is rife with incompetent oxymoron) and alienated the Ukrainian administration across the board, up to and including, his candy oligarch mentor, Poroshenko. Saakashvili resigned before he could be fired by Poroshenko, in September 2016. Poroshenko then revoked Saakashvili’s citizenship while McHeil was abroad, effectively deporting him, rendering Saakashvili a stateless exile in Poland.

By this time, with 2017 approaching, the Ukraine conflict is simmering and not nearly ‘hot’ enough, to please the western intelligence agencies. Poroshenko, who gives lip service (political fellatio) to western intelligence agencies’ (read NATO) desire of cracking down on the Donbass ethnic Russian rebels, but only that, understands reigniting all out war will only result in his loss of control over (and administration’s looting of) whatever remains of Ukraine’s resources. What Poroshenko may not fully understand is, the NATO states’ intelligence agencies, having given up on stabilizing Ukraine as a NATO aligned state, are not only perfectly willing, but by this time probably determined, to altogether destroy Ukraine, if necessary, to provoke Putin.

Re-enters the picture, in 2017, the moron Saakashvili. Banned from entry to Ukraine, he ‘manifests’ (a paid) crowd and the border guards ‘fail’ (read were bribed) to prevent his entry. Repeat a near identical scene in Kiev, as though scripted; Poroshenko’s police break down his apartment door, McHeil Saakashvili retreats to the roof and shouts down to people in the street “I’m McHeil Saakashvili, save me from the candy oligarch’s police!” As if the average Ukrainian would care, Saakashvili’s polling popularity registers at 2%. But like magic, a (hired) crowd manifests to intercept the police van taking him in. National guard troops sent to secure the van (read were bribed) ‘fail’ to stop the crowd setting McHeil free. At last glimpse (prior to posting this), McHeil is living in a tent pitched in front of Ukraine’s parliament, untouched (read the candyman’s security apparatus is bought off.) All of this will have cost NATO intelligence (read CIA, MI6 & Germany’s BND, primarily) what amounts to pennies in a Ukraine where people are near to subsisting on the air one can breathe, since neo-nazis were put into power by the same.

Message to the candy oligarch Poroshenko? ‘We own you, so start playing ball, and raise the violence levels in Donbass, so we can point the finger at Putin, or else you’ll get what’s coming to you.’

McHeil Saakashvili’s future? Well, this prognosis is quite interesting. My best educated guess would be, based on decades observation and study, is McHeil is being  set up for assassination, to be blamed on either Poroshenko (to push him out) or more likely, Putin. This useful idiot, Saakashvili, with his history of failures, is to be sacrificed for cynical but practical reasons. Number one, he’s a persistent failure. Number two, he is a recent embarrassment, not so much for his flamboyancy, but because he has been compromised and dead men don’t talk. The propaganda methodology is straightforward; in the case of blaming Putin, motive will be ascribed to revenge linked to the 2008 war. Saaskashvili is probably not aware…

…investigative reporting has very recently interviewed 3 Georgian snipers who were part of initiating the Maiden massacre (80 dead) and these snipers have not only been tied directly to Saakashvili’s connections in the Georgian security services, but have admitted as much. If Saakashvilli knew this, there is no way he’d be camped on a public square in Kiev. Unlike the related Odessa massacre documentary, which had been almost immediately banned (by the CIA’s friends) at youtube, this documentary has been allowed to remain up. The ‘right’ people in Ukraine will eventually stumble across it.

The preferred outcome of the western intelligence agencies would be a Ukrainian opposed to the 2014 ‘color revolution’ (coup) will take their chance (while feeling very justified, in the absence of legitimate institutions) to deliver vigilante justice and take Saakashvili out (to be blamed on Putin in western press.) If this doesn’t work out, a ‘patsy’ will be employed to same effect. If the candy oligarch has half a brain, he’ll find a way to arrest McHeil and hand him to Georgia. Meanwhile, in present circumstance, McHeil Saakashvili is a dead man walking.

9 December 2017 update: Saakashvili was finally arrested last night and brought into pre-trial detention center. Now, the candy oligarch still has a dilemma. If he hands Saaksashvili to Georgia, does the Saakashvilli complicity in the 2014 Ukraine coup, that is providing snipers, see more light of day, exposing the current Ukrainian regime? Moreover, if candy-man keeps McHeil in a Kiev dungeon and there were to be another ‘regime change’ with McHeil once again free, he no doubt ‘knows too much’ about candy-man’s corruption. On the other hand, if the candy oligarch does keep Saakashvili in a Ukrainian prison, to keep the idiot’s mouth shut, and McHeil somehow dies in custody, that looks bad too.

Maybe Poroshenko should ask Putin what to do (laughs.)

12 December 2017 update: Yesterday the court freed McHeil, opening the dunce to  assassination, certainly the CIA’s preferred outcome, anything but extradited to Georgia where he might ‘sing’ or be faced with credible witnesses and evidence of his political crimes, not only corruption. The prosecutor appeals but in a totally corrupt Ukraine, it is clear who holds the upper hand and it isn’t Poroshenko. Oligarch Gas Princess (CIA Orange Revolution asset) Tymoshenko embraces McHeil like a Black Widow spider, oh yeah, that’s auspicious. Break a leg, as the thespians say…

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Note on the preceding: Condoleezza Rice has been floated within the Trump administration as a possible ‘special envoy’ tasked to ‘stabilize’ the Balkans, only going to emphasize the willingness of Trump to employ a previously proven ‘reverse Midas touch’ will see his administration surpass all the years of near total idiocy of the consummate moron ‘dubya.’ The ‘other’ side of that coin is, insofar as useful idiots, Condoleezza’s incompetence has been responsible for generating conflict enriching the arms dealers in multiple hundreds of billions. A useful idiot, indeed.

Observation: ‘Dr’ Rice, as well the highly educated Mikheil Saakashvili, only go to prove ‘education’ is not a defining point of good leadership; ethics and common sense are the by far better qualifications. We are, sadly, lacking these latter two qualifications, perhaps altogether, in the western democracies present leaders. It has been said ‘cream rises to the top.’  Surely it does, but as a metaphor, only in a sanitary environment in institutions of government. Much more true in present circumstance is ‘flotsam rises to the top of the sewage pond.’

Image result for dick tracy fly face

 ^ Petro Poroshenko, alias Fly Face

Ukraine’s president Poroshenko, who had given former Georgia President in exile (wanted for corruption), Mikhail Saakashvili, a Ukrainian passport but then had the passport cancelled, ordered Saakashvili arrested this morning. Now arch-enemies, candy oligarch Poroshenko is equally deserving of no less a rotten fate. So, the sharks turn on each other in Ukraine’s feeding frenzy. Here is Saakashvili about the time Russian troops were over-running the USA trained Georgian army in 2008, following this former Georgian president moron attacking South Ossetia (while George W Bush had been sitting next to Putin at the Olympics.)

President Georgia GIF

^  taking instructions from Condoleezza Rice, 2008

Now, this newest color revolution mob, as though by appointment, frees this longtime CIA useful idiot from the police van taking him in. Addressing the crowd, as though in a Langley, Virginia, composed-prearranged action cartoon, or a Dick Tracy comic strip episode (the USA educated Saakashvili is actually a New York lawyer, a double joke) called Fly Face versus Mucous Face, mucous-faced Saakashvili demands the rapidly growing street mob march on fly-faced Poroshenko’s government.

Has the candy oligarch, Ukrainian President Fly Face, finally outlived his usefulness? Or is it former Georgia President, Mucous Face, has lost his last pretense of sanity? What will happen in next week’s episode?

And so, the soap opera that should be called ‘CIA Kiev Comedy Troupe‘ continues to astonish and entertain, sadly for the people of Ukraine.

Mucous Face - 1

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